Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 2.533357e-01 0.298507 0.346449 0.400832 0.460526 0.523784 0.595615
2025-02-09 1.818334e-01 0.241256 0.308935 0.390538 0.485115 0.590205 0.714736
2025-02-16 1.382294e-01 0.206048 0.288602 0.393652 0.521050 0.668048 0.847987
2025-02-23 1.028192e-01 0.173487 0.265562 0.388948 0.544908 0.730900 0.964921
2025-03-02 7.173472e-02 0.139764 0.235345 0.370509 0.548506 0.767559 1.050271
2025-03-09 5.518537e-02 0.122806 0.224345 0.374481 0.578724 0.836205 1.174875
2025-03-16 3.946513e-02 0.103012 0.205960 0.365658 0.590313 0.880445 1.269218
2025-03-23 3.257462e-02 0.096481 0.206117 0.382119 0.635495 0.968068 1.419208
2025-03-30 2.420307e-02 0.084583 0.195831 0.381810 0.656732 1.024207 1.529482
2025-04-06 1.797875e-02 0.074895 0.187529 0.383201 0.679557 1.082191 1.642460
2025-04-13 1.399827e-02 0.068839 0.184502 0.392080 0.712803 1.154309 1.774540
2025-04-20 1.115151e-02 0.064512 0.183878 0.404359 0.750927 1.233369 1.916540
2025-04-27 8.741137e-03 0.060478 0.183514 0.417375 0.791177 1.317127 2.067575
2025-05-04 5.782948e-03 0.052685 0.174349 0.414723 0.807481 1.367801 2.175083
2025-05-11 4.123619e-03 0.048313 0.171552 0.422599 0.839795 1.441247 2.314106
2025-05-18 2.492933e-03 0.042100 0.163502 0.420340 0.855947 1.491790 2.422464
2025-05-25 1.041018e-03 0.033478 0.147757 0.402430 0.846215 1.504566 2.478819
2025-06-01 5.606736e-04 0.030202 0.144524 0.407494 0.873125 1.570402 2.608782
2025-06-08 1.650530e-04 0.024951 0.134633 0.398663 0.876708 1.601869 2.691064
2025-06-15 9.293637e-05 0.024398 0.138030 0.416369 0.924541 1.699082 2.866108
2025-06-22 1.411260e-05 0.021261 0.132878 0.416212 0.942257 1.751689 2.978899
2025-06-29 6.740570e-08 0.018697 0.128781 0.417783 0.962696 1.808423 3.097871
2025-07-06 NaN 0.017361 0.128460 0.427234 0.996705 1.885851 3.246757